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Decision Tools Suite - Risk Analysis and Simulation
Windows 95/98/NT/2000/ME/XP and Excel
There are many risk and decision analysis tools on the market today. But most
of them focus on one specific analytical technique, like simulation or decision
trees. And most of them are tailored to a specific industry need, such as
insurance claims modeling or oil prospecting. Furthermore, these
 tools
can run tens of thousands, even millions of dollars. What you need is an
integrated set of tools that combine the best analytical methods, can be applied
to different problems, and that is reasonably priced. Look no further than the
DecisionTools® Suite!
DecisionTools That Work Together
The DecisionTools® Suite is an integrated set of five products designed to work
together to provide combined analyses and maximum functionality - optimum
decision analysis in one package! The DecisionTools Suite brings together five
products: @RISK, PrecisionTree®, TopRank®, BestFit®, and RISKview™. Installation
is fast and easy, using a single CD-ROM. The programs themselves have been
designed to work together in an integrated environment, running from a common
toolbar in Microsoft® Excel
With the DecisionTools Suite, you can perform advanced analyses you could not
perform with any single product. Create a decision tree in PrecisionTree, then
use @RISK to run a Risk Analysis on it. Take data stored in another workbook,
use BestFit to find the distribution that fits that data, and use the
distribution with @RISK.
The DecisionTools Suite includes the following products:
@RISK
The Risk Analysis and Simulation add-in for Excel. @RISK adds the power of Monte
Carlo simulation to any spreadsheet model. Replace uncertain values in your
spreadsheet with @RISK functions which represent a range of possible values.
Select one or more bottom-line cells as outputs, and start a simulation. @RISK
recalculates your spreadsheet hundreds or even thousands of times, each time
selecting random values from the @RISK functions you've entered. The result: a
distribution of possible outcomes and the probability of getting those results.
This not only tells you what could happen in a given situation, but how likely
it is that it will happen. Results can be displayed as high-resolution graphs
and in a full statistical report. Advanced features include Sensitivity and
Scenario Analyses, overlay graphs, and multiple summary graphs. The
DecisionTools Suite comes with @RISK 4.5 Professional, which integrates RISKview
4.5 for distribution viewing, and BestFit 4.5 for distribution fitting (see
below). And @RISK 4.5 runs up to ten times faster than previous versions, and
includes an intuitive Microsoft Office-style interface.
PrecisionTree® (Standard or Professional)
The Decision Analysis add-in for Excel. Create influence diagrams and decision
trees right in your existing spreadsheets! Use influence diagrams to see the
relationships between components of a problem, then decision trees to model the
sequence of events. Results include a full statistical report and risk profile
graphs. Sensitivity Analysis tells you which factors in your decision are most
important. Advanced features include linked trees, logic nodes, and reference
nodes. PrecisionTree Pro adds policy suggestion graphs and strategy region
graphs!
TopRank® (Standard or Professional)
The What-if Analysis add-in for Excel. Take any spreadsheet and TopRank
automatically determines which cells affect results the most and ranks them in
order of importance. Results can be displayed as Tornado graphs and in a full
statistical report. Advanced features include a What-if Wizard, Multi-Way
What-if Analysis, and support for data tables. TopRank Pro features unlimited
Multi-Way What-if Analysis.
BestFit®
The distribution fitting solution for Windows. BestFit takes data (now up to
100,000 points or pairs with BestFit 4.5) and finds the distribution function
that best fits that data. BestFit accepts three types of data: sample, density,
and cumulative. BestFit tests up to 26 distribution types using advanced
optimization algorithms. Results are displayed graphically and through a
statistical report which includes goodness-of-fit statistics. BestFit 4.5 offers
complete control over fitting parameters, and offers new graphics and an
Office-style interface. BestFit distributions can be used directly in @RISK,
TopRank, or PrecisionTree models. The DecisionTools Suite includes BestFit fully
integrated with @RISK 4.5, and also as a stand-alone application.
RISKview
The distribution viewing companion program. It is a powerful tool for viewing,
assessing, and creating probability distributions. Draw distribution functions
with the Distribution Artist and place them in @RISK models as General
distributions. RISKview also calculates the distribution that best fits your
hand-drawn curve from 37 distribution types! Now RISKview 4.5 offers sharper
graphics than ever before, sliding delimiters on graphs, and overlay graphs. The
DecisionTools Suite includes RISKview integrated with @RISK 4.5, and also as a
stand-alone application.
Standard and Professional Suite Versions Available
The DecisionTools Suite Standard comes with the standard versions of
PrecisionTree and TopRank, along with @RISK Professional, BestFit, and RISKview.
The Professional version includes the professional versions of PrecisionTree and
TopRank for the most advanced decision analysis system available!
DecisionTools Suite Features
- Easy installation from one CD
- Common Excel toolbar to access all programs
- Designed to work together to provide integrated risk and decision analysis
- @RISK - Risk Analysis
- PrecisionTree - Decision Analysis
- TopRank - What-if Analysis
- BestFit - Distribution Fitting
- RISKview - Distribution Previewing
- Standard and Professional Version Available
Become a Decision Analysis Expert!
The DecisionTools Suite comes with a wide variety of resources to help you get
started and overcome problems. Comprehensive tutorials walk you through the
features of @RISK, PrecisionTree and TopRank and demonstrate how to set up and
run models, step-by-step. The users manual for each application is written in
straightforward, plain English and even provides background information on Risk
Analysis, Decision Analysis and other techniques. All manuals are also available
electronically in the on-line Help menus. @RISK 4.5 features a comprehensive,
context-sensitive Help file to zero in your question. You can search on a
particular topic, or simply ask a plain English question using the new "How Do
I..." feature! Finally, example files are provided for all programs that can be
used as templates for building your own model.
If you have any further queries concerning this
software, please drop us a note
and we will get back to you as soon as possible.
Purchase Online
We have a number of purchase options available in our
store. Our goal is to ensure that you feel comfortable in buying our
software. We therefore employ the highest level of security for online
transactions and accept all major credit cards as well as various options
to purchase such as electronic fund transfer (EFT) or bank draft. Should
you prefer not to provide your details online, we understand and ask that
you send us an email
requesting a pro-forma invoice for the
software in question. Please include relevant company details should you
decide on this option.
We have been selling software via the internet for many years, and
have a list of satisfied customers from across the globe. Should you require references from
some of these companies and individuals please let us know.
  
Purchase Online
| DECISION TOOLS SUITE - Std with Gold Maintenance |
$ |
1495 |
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| DECISION TOOLS SUITE - Prof with Gold Maintenance |
$ |
1795 |
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| @Risk for MS EXCEL with Gold Maintenance |
$ |
795 |
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| @RISK for MS PROJECT with Gold Maintenance |
$ |
995 |
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Should
you like to download a demo of this software, it is available by
clicking the link below.
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